According to NOAA, Hurricane Ian became the 15th Billion-Dollar disaster in 2022. Landfall impacts from Ian are still being felt, as residents of the Florida coast begin rebuilding their homes where severe flooding and damage took place. Though devastating, Hurricane Ian spurred a newfound interest in forecast and risk communication in the media, and provided…
DetailsA new article published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society details how the Earth Prediction Innovation Center (EPIC) is working to unify community weather modeling and advance numerical weather prediction using open-source and open-science methods. Written by current and former NOAA leaders Richard W. Spinrad, Louis W. Uccellini, Dorothy M. Koch, Craig N.…
DetailsWatch the video on NOAA’s Ocean Today > Transcript The most fascinating thing about hurricanes, to me, is how the atmosphere and ocean work together to form these massive storms that can cause such great destruction. What got me interested in hurricanes was 1999 Hurricane Floyd, powerful enough to actually knock a tree down, which…
DetailsWPO recently held a webinar hosted by the NOAA Central Library on the FY23 Notice of Funding Opportunity. Our Program Managers spoke in detail about about this year’s competitions for Observations, Social and Behavioral Sciences, Innovations for Community Modeling, and VORTEX-USA. We also shared tips on how to write a compelling proposal, how to successfully…
DetailsIn response to the Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) and National Weather Service (NWS) bi-lateral meeting 2021, the WPO Forecasting A Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs) Program funded a project to assess the current program and plan for a future iteration of the program. WPO hired Toffler Associates, an offsite contractor, to help…
DetailsThis project implements an algorithm to estimate drift of the dropsondes in the data assimilation system of the operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting model. With the help of JTTI funds this dropsonde drift algorithm was operational tested and implemented in the National Weather Service (NWS) operations. NWS is now able to assimilate more dropsonde observations…
DetailsOn end user uncertainty, risk perception, and behavioral intentions (Grundstein FY18) Within the last decade, operational meteorologists have raised concerns that the availability of weather information from a variety of sources may contribute to a perception that weather risk messages are inconsistent and result in negative consequences among end users. The challenge, however, is that…
DetailsTitle: Advancing ADCIRC U.S. Atlantic and Gulf Coast Grids and Capabilities to Facilitate Coupling to the National Water Model in the Extratropical Surge and Tide Operational Forecast System (ESTOFS) Operational Forecasting (Westerink FY18) The primary objective of this project is to improve predictions of water levels caused by extratropical tide and storm surge within the…
DetailsForecasters at NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center (WPC) are responsible for producing Excessive Rainfall Outlooks, which brings awareness to the potential for flood-inducing rains up to three days in advance. However, the amount of rain that qualifies as “excessive” varies from region to region, and pinpointing the specific areas likely to receive heavy rain is challenging,…
DetailsFloods are among the most costly and deadly natural disasters that occur in the United States, coming in second to heat events. On average, approximately 100 people in the U.S. perish each year due to flooding. Reliable observations of flooding and inundation spanning larger extents are key in advancing the National Water Model (NWM) capability.…
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