Programs Legend:
EPIC (Earth Prediction Innovation Center)
JTTI (Joint Technology Transfer Initiative)
Obs (Observations)
S2S (Subseasonal to Seasonal)
SSP (Social Science Program)
Supps (Supplemental Appropriations)
Synoptic (Synoptic Program)
TBAQ (Testbeds and Air Quality)
VORTEX ( Verification of the Origins of Rotation in Tornadoes EXperiment)
For additional information please contact Laura DeHaan (laura.dehaan@noaa.gov).
| wdt_ID | Managing WPO Program | Project Title | Year Funded | Project Description | Principal Investigator(s) | Affiliate Organization | State | Project Start Date | Project End Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1163 | TBAQ | Probability of What? Understanding and Conveying Uncertainty through Probabilistic Hazard Services | FY15 | FACETS (Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats) is a holistic, science-based paradigm designed to move the NWS’s 1960s-era teletype (yes/no) product-centric methodologies toward a system delivering a continuous stream of high-resolution, probabi | Alan Gerard | NOAA/OAR/NSSL | Oklahoma | 5/1/2015 | 4/30/2018 |
| 1164 | TBAQ | Automated High-Resolution Ensemble-Based Hazard Prediction Tool | FY15 | This proposal describes work to expand a prototype ensemble post-processing system leading to an automated feature detection system to provide concise hazard guidance information for extreme precipitation and other significant weather events. This work wi | Curtis Alexander David Novak Stephen Weygandt Trevor Alcott tan Benjamin Isidora Jankov Jacob Carley Josh Hacker Tara Jensen Julie Demuth | NOAA/OAR/GSL | Colorado | 5/1/2015 | 4/30/2018 |
| 1165 | TBAQ | Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecast System for Prediction of Extreme Weather | FY15 | The proposed work will: i) operate a convection-permitting ensemble prediction system; ii) provide forecast products to the HWT for evaluation; iii) develop training materials and provide a team of ensemble system experts to the HWT to facilitate forecast | Glen Romine Michael Coniglio | University Corporation for Atmospheric Research; Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies | Colorado Oklahoma | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2018 |
| 1166 | TBAQ | Developing and Evaluating GSI-based EnKF-Variational Hybrid Data Assimilation for NCEP NAMRR to Improve Convection-Allowing Hazardouos Weather Forecast | FY15 | To extend GSI-based EnKF/Variational/hybrid system with NMMB and test it within the NAMRR context. Such system will have the capability of assimilating multi-scale observations including the direct assimilation of radar data. In addition, the EnKF ensembl | Xuguang Wang | University of Oklahoma | Oklahoma | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2019 |
| 1167 | TBAQ | Improving Initial Conditions and their Perturbations through Ensemble-Based Data Assimilation for Optimized Storm-Scale Ensemble Prediction in Support of HWT Severe Weather Forecasting | FY15 | The proposed project will: 1) Establish, test and optimize a 3-km grid spacing CONUS-domain EnKF and En3DVar hybrid DA systems capable of assimilating all operational data sets processed by the RAP/HRRR GSI system plus full-volume WSR-88D radial velocity | Ming Xue | University of Oklahoma | Oklahoma | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2018 |
| 1168 | TBAQ | Information Extraction and Verification of Convection-Allowing Models for Severe Hail Forecasting | FY15 | This proposal aims to improve severe hail forecasting through targeted information extraction from CAMs and objective verification using radar-derived hail size estimates. Verification is a key first step in evaluating the current skill of existing foreca | Israel Jirak | NOAA/NWS/SPC | Oklahoma | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2018 |
| 1169 | TBAQ | Integration and Evaluation of ProbSevere within the Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) Tool in the Hazardous Weather Testbed | FY15 | To integrate the NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere model, which utilizes satellite, multi-radar, lightning (future capability) and environmental data to determine the probability that a given storm will produce severe weather in the next 60 minutes, into the National | Kristin Calhoun Wayne Feltz Lans Rothfusz Michael Pavolonis | University of Oklahoma CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison NOAA/NSSL NOAA/NESDIS | Oklahoma Wisconsin | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2018 |
| 1170 | TBAQ | Demonstration of Advanced Ensemble Prediction Services for NWS Hydrometeorological Forecast Operations | FY15 | This proposal extends on-going research and development efforts within the NOAA Hydrometeorology Testbed (HMT), NCAR, and the new NWS National Water Center to involve existing NWS hydrological services staff responsible for integrating new technologies in | David Gochis Rob Cifelli | National Center for Atmospheric Research; NOAA/OAR/ESRL | Colorado | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2017 |
| 1171 | TBAQ | Multi-Radar/Multi-Sensor (MRMS) HMT-Hydro Experiment | FY15 | This proposal aims to capitalize on the outcomes from the first year of HMT-Hydro testbed experiment and to facilitate the transition of FLASH products to NWS operations at the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Central Operations (NCO) a | Jonathan Gourley | CIMMS/University of Oklahoma | Oklahoma | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2018 |
| 1172 | TBAQ | Storm-Scale Ensemble Prediction Optimized for Heavy Precipitation Forecasting in Support of the Hydrometeorology Testbed (HMT) | FY15 | To build direct collaborations with the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) and evolve current collaborations with the National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL), and the Environmental Modeling Center (EMC). This project will continue to improve the CAPS realti | Ming Xue | University of Oklahoma | Oklahoma | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2017 |
| 1173 | TBAQ | Validation and Improvement of Microphysical Parameterizations for Better Orographic Precipitation Forecasts | FY15 | This project will focus on retrospective simulations of a landfalling winter storm impacting the coastal orography of northern California where an array of observing systems has been deployed over the last ~10 years in support of the western Hydrometeorol | David Kingsmill | CIMMS/University of Oklahoma | Colorado | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2018 |
| 1174 | TBAQ | Probabilistic prediction of tropical cyclone rapid intensification using satellite passive microwave imagery | FY15 | A suite of probabilistic RI models [including an updated version of the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction System (SHIPS) Rapid Intensification Index (RII)] will be employed to examine potential environmental and storm structure predictors based o | Chris Rozoff | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2018 |
| 1175 | TBAQ | Improvements in Operational Statistical Tropical Cyclone Forecast Models | FY15 | This proposal seeks to complete a number of upgrades to SHIPS, LGEM, and the RII, many of which are based on NHC feedback over the past few hurricane seasons. Three tasks are proposed. These include 1) replacing weekly SSTs with 1° resolution with daily S | Galina Chirokova | CIRA/Colorado State University | Colorado | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2018 |
| 1176 | TBAQ | Improved Eyewall Replacement Cycle Forecasting Using a Modified Microwave-Based Algorithm (ARCHER) | FY15 | A simple modification to the eyewall-finding component of this algorithm can produce statistics on the presence of multiple eyewalls, and even pre-eyewall patterns. This information has great potential to complement the existing pERC (probability of ERC) | Anthony Wimmers | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2018 |
| 1177 | TBAQ | Improvement and Implementation of the Probability-based Microwave Ring Rapid Intensification Index for NHC/JTWC Forecast Basins | FY15 | To provide guidance for tropical cyclone (TC) rapid intensification (RI) forecasts, an automatic 37 GHz ring RI index has been developed and tested under the PI’s previous FY-11 and FY-13 JHT projects. This satellite-based RI index mainly addresses the in | Haiyan Jiang Kate Musgrave | Florida International University CIRA/Colorado State University | Colorado Florida | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2018 |
| 1178 | TBAQ | Guidance on Observational Undersampling over the Tropical Cyclone Lifecycle | FY15 | The goal of this study will be to compute systematic underestimates of hurricane intensity as measured by airborne SFMR instruments, surface observations (such as ships or buoys), and scatterometers. The underlying data sets will be three very high-resolu | David Nolan Eric Uhlhorn | University of Maryland | Maryland | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2018 |
| 1179 | TBAQ | Passive Microwave Data Exploitation via the NRL Tropical Cyclone Webpage | FY15 | Since many of the NRL TC web products were first developed, the goals and needs of the operational TC community has evolved. This proposal provides for these upgraded needs by suggesting multiple upgrades to the passive microwave imagery products on the N | Richard Bankert | Naval Research Laboratory | DC | 9/17/2015 | 9/30/2017 |
| 1180 | TBAQ | Improvement to the Tropical Cyclone Genesis Index (TCGI) | FY15 | This current project proposes several new elements with goals to expand and improve the current TCGI model that include extending the TCGI into the eastern and central North Pacific (EPAC and CPAC) basins, refining (testing) current (new) TCGI predictors, | Jason Dunion Andrea Schumacher John Kaplan Josh Cossuth | CIMAS/University of Miami CIRA/Colorado State University NOAA/OAR/AOML/HRD Naval Research Laboratory/Monterey | Colorado Maryland | 9/1/2015 | 8/31/2018 |
| 1181 | TBAQ | Transition of the Coastal and Estuarine Storm Tide Model to an Operatonal Model for Forecasting Storm Surges | FY15 | We propose to continue to conduct experimental forecasts during 2015 and 2016 hurricane seasons and transition CEST into an operational model by working with NHC’s storm surge unit and the Meteorological Development Laboratory (MDL) of the National Weathe | Keqi Zhang | Florida International University | Florida | 9/1/2015 | 2/28/2019 |
| 1182 | VORTEX | VORTEX-SE: Improving Understanding and Predictability of Tornadic Storms in the Southeastern U.S. Using Intensive Observations and High-Resolution Modeling | FY15 | The VORTEX-SE project represents the first concentrated effort to improve our understanding of tornadic storms, specifically in the southeastern United States. Proposed in this project is a multi-faceted, relatively short-fuse effort, driven by intensive | Christopher Weiss (PI), Eric Bruning (PI), Johannes Dahl (PI), David Dowell (PI), Curtis Alexander (PI) | Texas Tech University | Colorado Texas | 9/01/2015 | 8/31/2017 |
| 1183 | VORTEX | Addressing Interconnections between the Built and Natural Environments through Post-Event Damage Surveys | FY15 | The proposed research thus seeks to identify and explain the interconnectedness of damage in a given community, and how risk from tornadoes can be mitigated by improving our knowledge of these interconnections. We propose research organized around two pri | Christopher Godfrey (PI) | University of North Carolina at Asheville | Georgia New York North Carolina | 10/01/2015 | 9/30/2016 |
| 1184 | VORTEX | VORTEX-SE: Polarimetric Radar-based Field Campaign Activities and Storm Scale Studies | FY15 | To obtain new knowledge of atmospheric processes that are conducive to tornadoes and ultimately to help improve the prediction of tornadoes, this project proposes to provide multi-Doppler and polarimetric radar, lightning mapping, and disdrometer observat | Lawrence D. Carey (PI) | University of Alabama at Huntsville | Alabama | 10/01/2015 | 9/30/2017 |
| 1185 | VORTEX | Improved Understanding of Tornado Development and Risk using Models and Observations from VORTEX-SE | FY15 | This study proposes to contribute to VORTEX-SE by collecting special observations during intensive observing periods, applying state-of-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems, and developing a statistical tornadogenesis risk model | Michael E. Baldwin (PI), Robin L. Tanamachi (PI), Daniel T. Dawson (PI), Daniel R. Chavas (PI), Ernest M. Agee (PI), Stephen J. Frasier (PI) | Purdue University | Indiana Massachusetts | 10/01/2015 | 9/30/2017 |
| 1186 | VORTEX | Tornado warning response in the Southeast: Advancing knowledge for action in Tennessee | FY15 | This study aims to further understand and improve public response to tornado warnings in the Southeast. The PIs will use the state of Tennessee as a case study, pairing physical and social data to gain rapid results on the timely, vital issue of potential | Kelsey Ellis (PI), Lisa Reyes Mason (PI) | University of Tennessee | Tennessee | 10/01/2015 | 9/30/2019 |
| 1187 | VORTEX | Multi-disciplinary investigation of concurrent tornadoes and flash floods in the Southeastern US | FY15 | This study proposes to investigate both meteorological factors that support concurrent, co-located tornado and flash flood events, as well as the challenges experienced by National Weather Service (NWS) forecasters in their detection, warning issuance, an | Russ Schumacher (PI) | CIRA/Colorado State University | Colorado Virginia | 10/01/2015 | 9/30/2017 |
| Managing WPO Program | Year Funded | Affiliate Organization | State |