This project examined how end -users, such as forecasters, emergency managers, and the American public interpret and comprehend probabilistic tropical cyclone information. Using a concept known as numeracy, or one’s ability to use and understand numerical information, this study, in combination with past research, suggests that probability information helps people make decisions in the face of uncertainty. Many people (including core partners), however, have low levels of numeracy, and this can impact their risk literacy and decision-making process. Therefore, to improve comprehension and response to probabilistic forecast information, both low and high numerate individuals must be equitably considered when designing, developing and/or reformulating NOAA’s probabilistic forecasts, products, and services. For more information, check out their NOAA Library webinar here.
POC name: Gina Eosco POC email: Gina.Eosco@noaa.gov
PI Name: Joe Ripberger PI Email: email@example.com