Image Credit- Authors: Greg Greg Jennrich, David Straus, Muthuvel Chelliah, and Cory Baggett

Ensemble Prediction and Predictability of Extreme Weather via Circulation Regimes

A presentation given at NOAA’s 46th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop used cluster analysis methods to investigate and forecast circulation regimes impact on weeks 3/4 predictions.  This study demonstrates that the dominant circulation regimes over North America are combinations of teleconnections where the clusters are related to temperature and precipitation anomalies. The computationally efficient…

Photo Credit: NOAA This lone thunderhead quickly blew up just at sunset after a day of monsoonal showers near Williamson Valley, Az. Thunderhead over Table Mountain. Image ID: con00020, NOAA's National Weather Service (NWS) Collection Location: Arizona, Williamson valley Photographer: Jeff Stillman Credit: NOAA Weather in Focus Photo Contest 2015

Advances in the Prediction of MJO Teleconnections in the S2S Forecast Systems

A recent study uses novel diagnostics to evaluate the ability of 11 state-of-the-art S2S forecast systems to represent the teleconnections of the MJO and the impact on midlatitude weather systems and prediction.  Several S2S program funded projects contributed to this work.  While highlighting where model developments may be most beneficial to improving predictions, the study…

VORTEX radar image

The Finish Line: JTTI Runs NOAA Internal Competition to Transition Matured Research into NWS Operations

When funding weather research to improve forecasts for the community, many competitions are externally focused to organizations outside of NOAA. This allows a diverse set of institutions to work together on innovative solutions for forecast challenges. This external research compliments internal NOAA research efforts to improve operational forecasting. While the combined research efforts are critically…

WindBorne 3D profile over globe

WindBorne Weather Balloon Reaches New Heights in Atmospheric Measurement Capabilities

The Observations Program at the Weather Program Office has partnered with WindBorne Systems, Inc. to fund the development of an advanced weather balloon. This technology offers a low cost platform enabling collection of surface to stratosphere weather data in lesser-sampled regions. Long Range Sampling and Dynamic Altitude Control With an average flight time of 7…

VORTEX Satellite

VORTEX-USA Awards

WPO works in coordination with the National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) in Norman, Oklahoma to award projects that ​​explore and refine novel predictors of tornadoes, and to improve the communication of tornado forecasts and risk to tornadoes in the U.S. This year competition award total* for the 4 selected projects equals $1.36 M in grants.…

Taken from the Hazardous Weather Testbed at the National Weather Center in Norman, OK. Photo Credit: NOAA NSSL

Weather Testbed Awards

Testbeds are unique collaborative spaces that allow researchers and forecasters to work together to improve weather prediction systems. They accomplish this by working alongside each other to integrate new observing systems into models, test and streamline data assimilation methods, test weather model improvements, and strategize new developments. The Weather Program Office funds research projects and…

The TORUS project, or Targeted Observation by Radars and UAS of Supercells, aims at understanding the relationships between severe thunderstorms and tornado formation. CREDIT: NSSL NOAA

Joint Technology Transfer Initiative Awards

The Joint Technology Transfer Initiative (JTTI), works closely with the National Weather Service to accelerate the transition of matured weather research to NWS operations to improve forecasting for the benefit of the American public. This year’s competition focused on improving model development in collaboration with the UFS community to improve forecasts, finding innovative methodologies to…

person with umbrella traverses busy city with lights at night

Subseasonal to Seasonal Awards

The Weather Research and Forecasting Innovation Act of 2017 calls for NOAA to improve its Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) capabilities, and defines subseasonal to seasonal as the range between two weeks and two years. Additionally, the FY22 Appropriation mandated an increased emphasis on improvements to hydrologic prediction for the Western states. To meet these needs,…

The TORUS project, or Targeted Observation by Radars and UAS of Supercells, aims at understanding the relationships between severe thunderstorms and tornado formation. CREDIT: NSSL NOAA

Climate Testbed Awards

WPO’s Climate Testbed partnership with the National Center for Environmental Prediction  supports research to improve the operational products at the Climate Prediction Center. We accomplish this by supporting research projects in the collaborative Climate Test Bed, which are intended to demonstrate the potential for scientific advances from the external research community to improve operational climate…

The TORUS project, or Targeted Observation by Radars and UAS of Supercells, aims at understanding the relationships between severe thunderstorms and tornado formation. CREDIT: NSSL NOAA

Fire Weather & Air Quality FY 22 Awards

WPO funds work to advance our understanding of Air Quality and Fire Weather to improve forecasts and warnings for the public. The projects selected in this competition involve the use of machine learning, data assimilation techniques, physics, and post-processing of data to address gaps in the models such as the UFS, create a coupled fire-atmosphere…